Will the Gaza War lead to an Israel-Iran conflict?"Direct retaliation decision"(Comprehensive) – Korean Economy VRESP TODAY

“Iran decides to attack directly to show deterrence”… Also pay attention to the US response when an attack becomes a reality.
Is D-Day imminent? Some even observed the ‘Night of Power in Ramadan, which ends around 10 days ago’

Will the Gaza War lead to an Israel-Iran conflict?"Direct retaliation decision"(Synthesis)

Amid heightened tensions between Israel and Iran due to the bombing of the Iranian consulate in Damascus, the capital of Syria, there were reports that Iran had decided to attack Israel directly as a show of deterrence.

If Iran’s direct attack on Israel actually occurs, the war in the Middle East, which has continued for more than six months, is expected to face the risk of escalation once again.

Depending on the U.S. response, it seems impossible to rule out the possibility that this could escalate into a proxy war between Iran.

On the 5th (local time), the New York Times (NYT), an American daily, quoted multiple Iranian officials who requested anonymity and said, “Iran has placed all its forces on highest alert and said it must respond directly to the Damascus attack to create deterrence.” “A decision has been made,” the report said.

Creating deterrence refers to a strategy of demonstrating force so that the enemy realizes that the losses it will incur in retaliation are greater than the benefits it will gain from an attack.

Earlier, on the 1st, the Iranian consulate in Damascus, Syria, was bombed.

Mohammad Reza Zahedi, commander of the Revolutionary Guard’s elite Quds Force in charge of Lebanon and Syria, deputy commander Mohammad Hadi Haji Rahimi, and six other Revolutionary Guard generals were killed.

Afterwards, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei identified Israel as the mastermind behind the bombing and predicted retribution, saying, “You will be beaten.”

Will the Gaza War lead to an Israel-Iran conflict?"Direct retaliation decision"(Synthesis)

Amid various predictions about the specific method and timing of Iran’s retaliation, some see the ‘Night of Power’ of Ramadan (one of the odd days out of the last ten days of Ramadan), which ends around the 10th, as the timing of the attack.

Regarding Iran’s method of retaliation, there were also reports that attack drones and cruise missiles could be used.

CBS reported, “The United States has received information that Iran’s plan to attack Israel includes the launch of a swarm of armed drones and the launch of cruise missiles.”

However, it is not known whether the attack will be carried out in Iran or Syria or Iraq, the broadcaster added.

If Iran, the center of the so-called ‘Axis of Resistance’, directly attacks Israel, an all-out offensive by the Lebanese armed political faction Hezbollah, Yemen’s Houthi rebels, Syrian government forces, and pro-Iranian militias in Syria and Iraq, all of which are Iran’s proxy forces, is expected.

Earlier, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah said in a video speech on International Quds (Arabic for Jerusalem) Day the previous day, “Hezbollah is not afraid of any war” and “we are fully prepared for war with Israel.”

Hezbollah, which has supported Hamas and intervened by force right after the start of the Gaza War, is known to be much stronger than Hamas.

Meanwhile, CNN reported that the U.S. Joe Biden administration is maintaining a high alert level under the judgment that an Iranian attack is inevitable.

Israel is also preparing for contingencies by suspending vacations for combat troops and mobilizing additional reserve forces for air defense operation.

Iran is wary of possible U.S. intervention and delivered a preliminary warning message to the U.S. not to fall into Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s trap. In response, the U.S. requested Iran “not to strike U.S. targets.”

/yunhap news


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